Geen evolutie en ecolutie zonder revolutie!

Albert Einstein:

Twee dingen zijn oneindig: het universum en de menselijke domheid. Maar van het universum ben ik niet zeker.
Posts tonen met het label ACLED. Alle posts tonen
Posts tonen met het label ACLED. Alle posts tonen

zaterdag 24 november 2018

VS contraterrorisme destabiliseert Burkina Faso en Kameroen en brengt vluchtelingenstromen op gang......

Het noorden van Burkina Faso wordt geteisterd door aanvallen, zoals uiterst gewelddadige georganiseerde diefstallen.... Sinds 2016 hebben er al 200 van die aanvallen plaatsgevonden, waarbij 263 mensen zijn omgekomen.......

Een aantal van de aanvallen is te verklaren daar ze geclaimd zijn door de 'lokale' Al Qaida of IS terreurgroepen, ook een groep met de naam Al Mourabitoun is medeverantwoordelijk, voorts heeft Ansar al-Islam*, als Al Mourabitoun een terreurgroep uit Burkina Faso, een aantal aanvallen geclaimd, echter dit dekt slechts een kleine 10% van alle aanvallen en 'het is dan ook de vraag wie die andere aanvallen uitvoert.....'

Wel voor de rest van de terreur (meer dan 90%) is een door de VS getrainde legergroep verantwoordelijk, een groep die onder en boven de wet staat, het gaat hier om de voormalige presidentiële garde, door de Fransen aangeduid als RSP. Eén van de drijfveren voor het geweld is een groot proces,waar de daders van meerdere coups en gewelddadigheden terecht staan in een strak afgezet deel van de stad Ouagadougou**, genaamd Ouaga 2000. Onder de terechtstaande figuren bevinden zich beschermelingen van de RSP.

Eén ding is zeker, de bemoeienis van de VS in haar zogenaamde oorlog tegen terreur, waarbij de VS zelf NB ongebreidelde terreur inzet, destabiliseert landen, voorbeelden te over. Het steunen van een legermacht die gebonden is aan een corrupte dictator leidt tot willekeur en juist veel meer terreur, zoals de VS heeft laten zien in Afghanistan, Irak, Somalië en Jemen, voorts in landen als Kameroen waar de VS een snelle reactie macht trainde tegen Boko Haram, deze snelle reactiemacht is verworden tot een (officiële) legermacht die terreur zaait middels enorme mensenrechtenschendingen........***

In het hieronder opgenomen artikel van The Intercept zegt de schrijver Joe Penney jammer genoeg niets over wie er profiteert van de enorme corruptie, hoewel hij corruptie wel noemt. Verantwoordelijk voor die corruptie zijn niet alleen de oorlogsbazen, maar juist ook grote westerse bedrijven, die niet graag een eind zien komen aan de corruptie, immers dan zouden ze het personeel echt moeten betalen en mogen ze niet ongestraft enorme milieuschade aanrichten.........

Nogmaals een bewijs dat het westen de boel verstiert in Afrika en als er daardoor vluchtelingen onze kant opkomen, wijst men niet naar deze smerige bedrijven plus terreurentiteiten als de VS die de corruptie en geweld in feite in stand houden, maar naar de slachtoffers van die corrupte en van dat geweld, die de uitzichtloze situatie en het geweld ontvluchten........

Lees het volgende artikel van Joe Penney. maar let wel: het is al met al een behoorlijk ingewikkelde situatie in Burkino Faso en landen daaromheen:

BLOWBACK IN AFRICA

How America’s Counterterror Strategy Helped Destabilize Burkina Faso

Security forces stand in front of the burned exterior of the Splendid Hotel after an Al Qaeda attack that killed 30 people there and in a restaurant across the street in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, January 16, 2016. Joe Penney

November 22 2018, 1:00 p.m.

ON A MUGGY EVENING in mid-August, a convoy of gold miners and gendarmes in 4x4s and pickup trucks drove on an unpaved road from a Canadian-owned gold mine in Boungou, eastern Burkina Faso. Just a few miles after leaving the facility, the convoy hit a mine. Gunmen jumped out from the thick forest on the side of the road and opened fire, killing five gendarmes and one miner.

Two months later, in the northern town of Inata near the Malian border — another gold-mining site — a column of militants on motorcycles ambushed police in the early hours of the morning, killing one gendarme and carrying away police equipment as they fled the scene. The Burkinabé military authorities called in the help of French troops stationed in neighboring Niger, and they sent two Mirage fighter jets that struck the fleeing militants. This opened up yet another front for France’s overstretched military operation in the Sahel region, cementing the perception that six years after the French intervention in Mali, security in the region is deteriorating.

Since January 2016, more than 200 militant attacks have killed at least 263 people in Burkina Faso, according to data from Héni Nsaibia, a researcher at the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). The violence “has created a kind of psychosis in terms of security, especially in the north,” said Bénéwendé Sankara, vice president of parliament. “So far, the consequences are terrible. Schools and health clinics are closed, people have fled. It’s become a no-man’s land.” The incidents in Boungou and Inata are emblematic — both in the nature of the attacks and the unknown identity of the attackers — of the destabilization of the Burkinabé state.

These attacks are enveloped in a huge mystery — just who is committing them, and why?


A few of the major attacks have been claimed by regional jihadi groups like Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, Islamic State in the Greater Sahara, and Al Mourabitoun. Ansar Al Islam, a group founded by the late Burkinabé radical preacher Malam Ibrahim Dicko, has claimed others. But more than 90 percent of the attacks have not been claimed — including the assaults on Boungou and Inata — and the assailants are unknown, at least to the public. “Behind terrorist attacks, there is always a political and religious motivation,” Police Commissioner Anihifahata Yacoub Sié Rachid Palenfo told me when I recently visited the country. “In the case of Burkina Faso, we did not feel a religious motivation. What, then, is the message?”

In this photo taken on Saturday, Sept. 19, 2015, Gen. Gilbert Diendere, left, who was named leader of Burkina Faso on Thursday, speaks to media in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. West African mediators late Saturday hinted at a breakthrough in Burkina Faso's political crisis after a military coup brought a general to power less than a month before scheduled elections. (AP Photo/Theo Renaut)
Gen. Gilbert Diendéré, left, speaks to media in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, on Sept. 19, 2015.
Photo: Theo Renaut/AP


WHAT’S HAPPENING IN Burkina Faso appears to be, at least in part, an example of blowback against U.S. anti-terror tactics. That’s because a now-disbanded elite military unit that received training from the U.S. is suspected of being involved in the attacks against the country.

There are multiple theories behind the swift breakdown in security — and all turn around the 2014 revolution that overthrew ex-dictator Blaise Compaoré and threatened his feared presidential guard, known by its French acronym RSP and led by Gen. Gilbert Diendéré. By toppling only the president, which led to the disbanding of his key military unit a year later, the revolution left the country with a gaping security hole. As a special unit of roughly 1,300 soldiers with separate living quarters, equipment, training, and pay from the regular army, the presidential guard protected the interests of the party in power, rather than the country at large. The RSP was particularly potent, too — it had its own counterterrorism unit that received training from both France and the U.S.

The insecurity that Burkina Faso is experiencing today appears to be proof that support for an elite unit that works for a corrupt dictator can lead to more terrorism and insecurity. This type of mistake is one of the hallmarks of the so-called war on terror and has been repeated, in various forms, in Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, Yemen, and numerous other countries. In Cameroon, for example, the Rapid Intervention Brigade, an elite unit that the U.S. has worked with to fight Boko Haram in the north of the country, has been accused of numerous human rights violations while fighting Anglophone separatist groups in western Cameroon.

Security forces stand guard after an Al Qaeda attack that killed 30 people in a restaurant and hotel in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, January 16, 2016. Joe Penney
Security forces stand guard on Jan. 16, 2016, after an Al Qaeda attack killed 30 people in a restaurant and hotel in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. Photo: Joe Penney for The Intercept

Although the first truly democratically elected government in Burkina Faso’s history took the reins in January 2016, “the existence of the state is still uncertain,” said Méleguem Traoré, a former head of parliament and close confidant of Compaoré, the former president. In March, a double attack hit the army headquarters and French embassy in the heart of the capital, Ouagadougou, killing 16. After gunmen from Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb targeted two restaurants on one of the capital’s busiest streets, businesses have set up airport-style security at establishments throughout the city. In Ouagadougou’s main square, Place de la Nation — where protesters massed to demand the fall of Compaoré in 2014 and again when Diendéré’s men carried out their own coup attempt in 2015 to return to power — jumpy soldiers now monitor all passersby.

Strangely, the key to ending the mysterious terror attacks may not lie in remote battlefields, but in a public spectacle that takes place every weekday in the north of Ouagadougou.

A garbage collected rids his donkey-led carriage on a street closed for the trial against former General Gilbert Diend?r? and the coup plotters of 2015 in the Ouaga 2000 neighborhood of Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, August 28, 2018. Joe Penney for The Intercept
A garbage collector rides his donkey-led carriage on a street closed for the trial against former Gen. Gilbert Diendéré and the coup plotters of 2015 in the Ouaga 2000 neighborhood of Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, on Aug. 28, 2018. Photo: Joe Penney for The Intercept

IT HAPPENS AT 10 a.m. in the upscale Ouaga 2000 neighborhood — traffic is shut down on a main throughway housing embassies and a major hotel. It is in this neighborhood, at a convention center, that Diendéré, the former head of the presidential guard, and former Foreign Minister Djibril Bassolé, as well as 82 others, are standing trial for their roles in a 2015 coup d’état that sought to overthrow the fledgling transitional government in favor of Compaoré’s allies. Former RSP soldiers, some wearing the uniforms of the regular army and some wearing civilian clothes, respond one by one to questioning by military judges and prosecution lawyers. Diendéré — who is locked in a maximum-security military prison and charged with treason, attacking state security, and the beating and murder of protesters — is due to stand for questioning soon.

Few would have dreamed it was possible for someone so feared and powerful as Diendéré to face such serious criminal charges, making the trial an unprecedented push toward justice and accountability. Dozens of journalists attend the proceedings, passing through the tight security checkpoints to enter every morning and write full accounts of the day’s proceedings in almost all of the country’s newspapers.

Prior to their political demise, Diendéré, Bassolé, and the Mauritanian consultant they worked with, Moustapha Limam Chafi, were key U.S. allies in Francophone West Africa. Burkina Faso, which means “Land of the Upright People,” had never experienced a terrorist attack. For instance, in 2012, Compaoré, then president, sent Diendéré on a mission north of Timbuktu, Mali, to procure the release of Swiss hostage Beatrice Stockly, who had been kidnapped just nine days earlier by Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb. Over soft drinks and grilled lamb with one of the most wanted Al Qaeda leaders, Diendéré ensured the handover of millions of dollars in return for the Swiss missionary.

Compaoré — who had come to power in a coup that killed the revolutionary leader Thomas Sankara in 1987, instilling stability through authoritarian rule — had played a key role in negotiating the release of multiple Western hostages in the region. There was a cost to this, however. Known as the pompier-pyromane (“firefighter-pyromaniac”), his efforts to negotiate peace deals with neighbors (like the talks between Tuareg rebels and the Malian government in Ouagadougou in 2012) were buffeted by reports that he had played a more nefarious role in numerous conflicts, including arming rebels in Ivory Coast and trading weapons for diamonds to former President Charles Taylor in Liberia.




Anti-government protesters gather in the Place de la Nation in Ouagadougou, capital of Burkina Faso, October 31, 2014. General Honore Traore, the head of Burkina Faso's armed forces, took power on Friday after President Blaise Compaore resigned amid mass demonstrations against an attempt to extend his 27-year rule in the West African country. REUTERS/Joe Penney (BURKINA FASO - Tags: POLITICS CIVIL UNREST TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY) - GM1EAAV1SCI01Anti-government protesters take over the parliament building in Ouagadougou, capital of Burkina Faso, October 30, 2014. Thousands of protesters marched on Burkina Faso's presidential palace after burning the parliament building and ransacking state television offices on Thursday, forcing President Blaise Compaore to scrap a plan to extend his 27-year rule. Emergency services said at least three protesters were shot dead and several others wounded by security forces when the crowd tried to storm the home of Compaore's brother. Security forces also fired live rounds and tear gas at protesters near the presidency in the Ouaga 2000 neighborhood. REUTERS/Joe Penney (BURKINA FASO - Tags: POLITICS CIVIL UNREST TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY) - RTR4C6YT
Top: Anti-government protesters gather in the Place de la Nation in Ouagadougou on Oct. 31, 2014. Bottom: Anti-government protesters take over the parliament building in Ouagadougou on Oct. 30, 2014.Photos: Joe Penney/Reuters

In 2014, a popular uprising of millions of protesters fed up with the pompier-pyromane took to the streets and chased him from power. Compaoré fled on a French helicopter to neighboring Ivory Coast and is still there. One of the transitional government’s most ambitious acts was to try to completely dissolve the RSP. But in 2015, before the transitional government got a chance to carry out its plan, Diendéré and the RSP staged a coup against the transitional government. Diendéré’s forces were defeated by the regular army and street protests. The RSP was completely dissolved immediately after the civilian government was restored to power.

But this created a dangerous vacuum.

The intelligence system that we had was based on structures at the gendarmerie and at the presidential security unit,” said Traoré, the confidant of the ousted president. “Those structures were brutally broken up, and the man at the center of all that, Gen. Gilbert Diendéré, was taken out of play,” he added.

Under Compaoré, Tuareg rebel groups who had allied with Al Qaeda were able to come in and out of Burkina while the country hosted peace talks between them and the Malian government, giving way to rumors that Compaoré had a tacit agreement to allow their presence in exchange for no attacks. The new government made a conscious decision to cut off their access to the country. “They could have kept up the contacts, but I think the political choice was to break with these groups and to ask those who were in Burkina to leave,” said Sankara, the parliament vice president. “And I think it’s the result of this decision that it was necessary to hit Burkina.”

Vice President of the parliament Bénéwende Sankara poses for a picture in his office at the new parliament building in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, August 28, 2018. Joe Penney for The Intercept
The vice president of the parliament, Bénéwende Sankara, at his office at the new parliament building in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, on Aug. 28, 2018.
Photo: Joe Penney for The Intercept

Some in Burkina believe that the RSP and the former regime are at least partially the cause of the country’s growing instability. “There is a common interest between the terrorist groups that operate in West Africa and the Burkinabé political camp that is no longer in power,” said Guy Hervé Kam, co-founder of the Balai Citoyen, one of the main groups that organized protests against Compaoré, and one of the prosecution’s lawyers in the trial against Diendéré and his co-conspirators. The police commissioner, Anihifahata Yacoub Sié Rachid Palenfo, said that while RSP deserters may be participating in the attacks today, there is no proof of this, although he noted that a number of RSP dismissed for mutiny in 2011 had been proven to be committing crimes and attacks shortly after their dismissal.

The researcher Héni Nsaibia argued that “pointing fingers at Diendéré, Bassolé, ex-RSP, and former President Blaise Compaoré has been very convenient for the current regime.” Nsaibia believes a large portion of the attacks are carried out by Ansar Al Islam militants but also the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara, both of whom are not claiming responsibility because “none of the groups have created any media wings,” as well as “strategic considerations to survive long-term by avoiding unwanted attention, including military action and ISR/ESM measures by international forces, the latter creating difficulties for the militants in communicating with each other regularly from greater distances.”

Providing some support to Nsaibia’s thesis, a spokesperson for the French military said that in addition to the airstrike on fleeing militants in Inata, whom the French suspect to be from the Ansar Al Islam, French soldiers have also supported Burkinabé patrols in the east of the country to stop “armed groups that carry out predatory attacks and actions against the security forces.”

Burkina Faso's former prime minister Luc Adolphe Tiao waits for the opening of the trial of the former president and members of his last government on April 27, 2017 at the High Court of Justice in Ouagadougou. Ousted Burkina Faso president Blaise Compaore and several former ministers are on trial over the violent crackdown on the October 2014 popular uprising that overthrew him. The trial has been postponed until May 4. / AFP PHOTO / Ahmed OUOBA        (Photo credit should read AHMED OUOBA/AFP/Getty Images)
Burkina Faso’s former prime minister, Luc Adolphe Tiao, far right, waits for the opening of the trial of the former president and members of his last government on April 27, 2017 in Ouagadougou. Photo: Ahmed Ouoba/AFP/Getty Images

damning Human Rights Watch report stated that the Burkinabé military’s heavy-handed response to jihadi militants often aggravated the problems. According to the report, “Burkinabé security forces have conducted counterterrorism operations in 2017 and 2018 that resulted in numerous allegations of extrajudicial killings, abuse of suspects in custody, and arbitrary arrests,” and a significant portion of the abuses were against the Peul ethnic group. The security forces’ wanton violence has led to more lawlessness and local residents are less likely to cooperate with them against the jihadi groups, the report noted.

Diendéré’s lawyer, Mathieu Somé, said that his client is innocent on all charges he is facing (Diendéré is also on trial for his alleged role in the murder of Thomas Sankara, as well as for the killing of protesters in the 2014 revolution), and that the trial is a waste of time. “When you don’t know how to run a country, you’ll always blame it on someone else,” he said. “Why continue to divide the country with a nonsensical affair?”

Kam, however, told me that the prosecution has audio recordings of RSP and former regime members plotting in French and Arabic with Malian militants to attack the country. The attacks echo an audio recordingreleased in 2015 purporting to show the president of neighboring Ivory Coast’s parliament, Guillaume Soro, floating a strategy to destabilize the Burkinabé armed forces in the wake of Diendéré’s failed coup of 2015. “You hit a city in the north; we take a police station or a gendarmerie. They’re going to flee, they can’t resist,” Soro says in a phone conversation with Djibril Bassolé, who replies “Yes, OK.” Soro is a former rebel who received arms from Compaoré and Diendéré when his New Forces soldiers were fighting then-Ivorian President Laurent Gbagbo, and is close to the former Burkinabé regime.

These are uneasy times in Burkina. Kam is worried for his own security and thinks that there will be more serious attacks to threaten the stability of the country as the trial draws closer to its end. There have already been three prison breaks to free Diendéré that he knows of. “The atmosphere of fear is not that they will come back to power, it’s that they are like wounded beasts capable of lashing out if they have the opportunity,” Kam said. “Take an officer in the box of the accused who has been in power his whole life. He knows that if the trial ends, he will do 20 years in prison and will lose everything. What does he lose by trying to cause trouble?”

A vendor sells fruits and vegetables at dusk in the Ouaga 2000 neighborhood where former General Gilbert Diend?r? and the coup plotters of 2015 are on trial in Ouagadougouof Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, August 28, 2018. Joe Penney for The Intercept
A vendor sells fruits and vegetables at dusk in the Ouaga 2000 neighborhood where former Gen. Gilbert Diendéré and the coup plotters of 2015 are on trial in Ouagadougon Aug. 28, 2018. Photo: Joe Penney for The Intercept

THE HOPE FOR a new kind of democracy that swept the nation after the dictator fell has given way to fear and apprehension. With Burkina Faso’s security falling apart, the U.S. response seems to be more of the same. The U.S. military is once again working with counterterrorism units in the country. “We are helping Burkina Faso build counterterrorism units to counter violent extremist organizations (VEOs) based out of Mali, and we assist terrorism response forces in Ouagadougou,” said U.S. Africa Command spokesperson Becky Farmer.

The Burkina government vows to continue with the trial against Diendéré and its regular army missions against the militants. Parliament recently passed laws raising its meager security budget, but it’s not clear if that will be enough. Unlike neighbors Mali and Niger, there is relatively little foreign military presence in Burkina, though that may change soon. “It’s a kind of pressure cooker, it’s bubbling, and we must find the remedy, otherwise all the ingredients are there for it to explode,” said Sankara, the vice president of parliament. “We are fighting them. We pay the price, every day there are deaths, but I believe that we must succeed in eradicating them.”

Additional reporting by Nadoun Coulibaly and Claude Romba.

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U.S. SPECIAL OPERATIONS NUMBERS SURGE IN AFRICA’S SHADOW WARS

**EMBARGO: No electronic distribution, Web posting or street sales before Sunday 3:00 a.m. ET April 22, 2018. No exceptions for any reasons. EMBARGO set by source.** Air Force engineers and members of 31st Expeditionary RED HORSE squadron work on a landing strip, on the Air Base 201 compound, in Agadez, Niger, April 12, 2018. Hundreds of American troops are working feverishly to convert a barren swath of scrubland here into the Pentagon's newest and potentially deadliest drone base on the African continent, in a sign of the region's widening terrorist threats. (Tara Todras-Whitehill/The New York Times)

THE U.S. IS BUILDING A DRONE BASE IN NIGER THAT WILL COST MORE THAN $280 

===========================================
* Niet te verwarren met Ansar al-Islam, een Koerdisch-islam groep, overigens fanatieke aanhangers van de sharia.

** Ouagadougou >> ook Ouaga genoemd.

*** Zie:

CAMEROON IS A CLOSE U.S. ALLY — AND ITS SOLDIERS CARRIED OUT A SHOCKING EXECUTION OF WOMEN AND CHILDREN


zaterdag 10 november 2018

Jemen: genocide en oorlog hebben tot nu toe al rond de 200.000 mensenlevens geëist.....

In tegenstelling tot eerdere berichten schat men eindelijk het aan tal doden in en door de genocide die de Saoedische terreurcoalitie aanricht in Jemen......

De reguliere media houden over het algemeen 10.000 doden aan als slachtoffers van 'de burgeroorlog', een aantal dat al meer dan een jaar wordt aangehouden, terwijl eerder dit jaar al bekend werd gemaakt dat elke 10 minuten een kind overlijdt in Jemen........

NGO Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) schat het aantal doden dat alleen door geweld van de Saoedische terreurcoalitie is gevallen sinds de oorlog tegen de Houthi rebellen begon, tussen de 70.000 en 80.000 doden ligt, zoals aangegeven is dit nog buiten de slachtoffers van de honger, cholera en difterie, honger en ziekten die zijn veroorzaakt door de terreur van de Saoedische coalitie..... Kortom het werkelijke aantal burgerslachtoffers door de terreuroorlog van de Saoedische coalitie zal in totaal niet ver van de 200.000 slachtoffers liggen.......

Vandaar ook dat je moet spreken van een genocide, zeker als je ziet dat de Saoedische coalitie met opzet burgerdoelen bombardeert als ziekenhuizen, scholen, woonblokken, energiecentrales, waterzuiveringsinstallaties (en water leveringsbedrijven), moskeeën en markten (waar een paar maanden geleden met opzet een een schoolbus werd getroffen).

Als giftige kers op de bloederige taart, bombardeerde de Saoedische terreurcoalitie een splinternieuw ziekenhuis van Artsen zonder Grenzen, een ziekenhuis speciaal gericht op het bestrijden van cholera..... Door de blokkades van Saoedi-Arabië en de VS (op zee) is er bovendien een hongersnood ontstaan* en dat in een land waar al weinig landbouw is..... Om te laten zien dat het deze terreurcoalitie om het uitmoorden van de sjiieten in Jemen gaat, heeft men ook het relatief kleine landbouwareaal in Jemen voor het grootste deel vernietigd.......

Hoofdverantwoordelijke voor deze genocide is de grootste terreurentiteit op aarde, de VS. Zo levert de VS (samen met Groot-Brittannië) wapens en munitie, naast rollend, varend en vliegend oorlogstuig aan Saoedi-Arabië..... Bovendien geven deze landen militaire training aan Saoedische militairen.... De VS doet daarnaast de coördinatie van de bombardementen en voorziet straaljagers en bommenwerpers van de Saoedische coalitie in de lucht van brandstof, zodat er 'zo efficiënt mogelijk kan worden gebombardeerd.....**'

In het volgende artikel, geschreven door Nicholas J.S. Davies en eerder geplaatst op Common Dreams, gaat hij verder in op het expres spelen met het aantal slachtoffers, ofwel o.a. de VS en GB houden het aantal slachtoffers dat valt in de illegale oorlogen van de VS, zo laag mogelijk, dit om het publiek in het westen niet tegen zich in het harnas te jagen........ 

Tot slot moet ik  nog opmerken dat het werkelijke aantal doden waarschijnlijk veel hoger ligt dan de 200.000 die in de kop vermeld staan, vergeet niet dat doden snel begraven worden in islamitische landen en door de oorlog is het bijhouden van dit soort statistieken een uiterst moeilijke zaak.....

Published on Thursday, November 08, 2018 by Common Dreams

Yemeni War Deaths Underestimated by Five To One


ACLED estimates the true number of people killed in Yemen is probably between 70,000 and 80,000.


As I explained in my Consortium News report, no such effort to count the dead by reviewing media reports, records from hospitals and other "passive" sources, no matter how thoroughly, can ever fully count the dead amid the widespread violence and chaos of a country ravaged by war. (Photo by Sebastiano Tomada/Getty Images Reportage Reportage)
As I explained in my Consortium News report, no such effort to count the dead by reviewing media reports, records from hospitals and other "passive" sources, no matter how thoroughly, can ever fully count the dead amid the widespread violence and chaos of a country ravaged by war. (Photo by Sebastiano Tomada/Getty Images Reportage Reportage)

In April, I made new estimates of the death toll in America’s post-2001 wars in a three-part Consortium News report. I estimated that these wars have now killed several million people.  I explained that widely reported but much lower estimates of the numbers of combatants and civilians killed were likely to be only one fifth to one twentieth of the true numbers of people killed in U.S. war zones. Now one of the NGOs responsible for understating war deaths in Yemen has acknowledged that it was underestimating them by at least five to one, as I suggested in my report.

One of the sources I examined for my report was a U.K.-based NGO named ACLED (Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project), which has compiled counts of war deaths in Libya, Somalia and Yemen.  At that time, ACLED estimated that about 10,000 people had been killed in the war in Yemen, about the same number as the WHO (World Health Organization), whose surveys are regularly cited as estimates of war deaths in Yemen by UN agencies and the world's media.  Now ACLED estimates the true number of people killed in Yemen is probably between 70,000 and 80,000.

ACLED's estimates do not include the thousands of Yemenis who have died from the indirect causes of the war, such as starvation, malnutrition and preventable diseases like diphtheria and cholera. UNICEF reported in December 2016 that a child was dying every ten minutes in Yemen, and the humanitarian crisis has only worsened since then, so the total of all deaths caused directly and indirectly by the war must by now number in the hundreds of thousands.

Another NGO, the Yemen Data Project (YDP), revealed in September 2016 that at least a thirdof Saudi-led air-strikes, many of which are conducted by U.S.-built and U.S.-refueled warplanes using U.S.-made bombs, were hitting hospitals, schools, markets, mosques and other civilian targets. This has left at least half the hospitals and health facilities in Yemen damaged or destroyed, hardly able to treat the casualties of the war or serve their communities, let alone to compile meaningful figures for the WHO’s surveys. 
In any case, even comprehensive surveys of fully functioning hospitals would only capture a fraction of the violent deaths in a war-torn country like Yemen, where most of those killed in the war do not die in hospitals. And yet the UN and the world's media have continued to cite the WHO surveys as reliable estimates of the total number of people killed in Yemen.

The reason I claimed that such estimates of civilian deaths in U.S. war zones were likely to be so dramatically and tragically wrong was because that is what epidemiologists have found whenever they have conducted serious mortality studies based on well-established statistical principles in war zones around the world. 

Epidemiologists recently used some of the same techniques to estimate that about 3,000 people died as a result of Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico. The results of studies in war-ravaged Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) have been widely cited by Western political leaders and the Western media with no hint of controversy.  
When some of the very same public health experts who had worked in Rwanda and the DRC used the same methods to estimate how many people had been killed as a result of the U.S. and U.K.’s invasion and occupation of Iraq in two studies published in the Lancet medical journal in 2004 and 2006, they found that about 600,000 people had been killed in the first three years of war and occupation.  

Wide acceptance of these results would have been a geopolitical disaster for the U.S. and U.K. governments, and would have further discredited the Western media who had acted as cheerleaders for the invasion of Iraq and were still blaming the Iraqi victims of the illegal invasion of their country for the violence and chaos of the occupation.  So, even though the U.K. Ministry of Defence's Chief Scientific Advisor described the Lancet studies' design as "robust" and their methods as "close to best practice," and British officials admitted privately that they were "likely to be right," the U.S. and U.K. governments launched a concerted campaign to "rubbish" them. 

In 2005, as American and British officials and their acolytes in the corporate media “rubbished” his work, Les Roberts of Johns Hopkins School of Public Health (now at Columbia), the lead author of the 2004 study, told the U.K. media watchdog Medialens, “It is odd that the logic of epidemiology embraced by the press every day regarding new drugs or health risks somehow changes when the mechanism of death is their armed forces.”  

Roberts was right that this was odd, in the sense that there was no legitimate scientific basis for the objections being raised to his work and its results. But it was not so odd that embattled political leaders would use all the tools at their disposal to try to salvage their careers and reputations, and to preserve the U.S. and U.K.'s future freedom of action to destroy countries that stood in their way on the world stage.

By 2005, most Western journalists in Iraq were hunkered down in Baghdad's fortified Green Zone, reporting mainly from the CENTCOM briefing room.  If they ventured out, they were embedded with U.S. forces traveling by helicopter or armored convoy between fortified U.S. bases. Dahr Jamail was one of a few incredibly brave “unembedded” American reporters in the real Iraq, Beyond the Green Zone, as he named his book about his time there.  Dahr told me he thought the true number of Iraqis being killed might well be even higher than the Lancet studies' estimates, and that it was certainly not much lower as the Western propaganda machine insisted.

Unlike Western governments and the Western media over Iraq, and UN agencies and the same Western media over Afghanistan and Yemen, ACLED does not defend its previous misleadingly inadequate estimates of war deaths in Yemen. Instead, it is conducting a thorough review of its sources to come up with a more realistic estimate of how many people have been killed. Working back from the present as far as January 2016, it now estimates that 56,000 people have been killed since then. 
Andrea Carboni of ACLED told Patrick Cockburn of the Independent newspaper in the U.K. that he believes ACLED's estimate of the number killed in 3-1/2 years of war on Yemen will be between 70,000 and 80,000 once it has finished reviewing its sources back to March 2015, when Saudi Arabia, the U.S. and their allies launched this horrific war. 
But the true number of people killed in Yemen is inevitably even higher than ACLED's revised estimate.  As I explained in my Consortium News report, no such effort to count the dead by reviewing media reports, records from hospitals and other "passive" sources, no matter how thoroughly, can ever fully count the dead amid the widespread violence and chaos of a country ravaged by war.

This is why epidemiologists have developed statistical techniques to produce more accurate estimates of how many people have really been killed in war zones around the world. The world is still waiting for that kind of genuine accounting of the true human cost of the Saudi-U.S. war on Yemen and, indeed, of all America's post-9/11 wars.

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*  Honger waarvoor in Nederland begin 2017 een Giro 555 actie werd gevoerd....... Vreemd dat men daar nooit op terug is gekomen, daar de honger nog steeds dagelijks vele doden eist...... En dan te bedenken dat 'onze' regering nog steeds onderdelen voor wapensystemen levert aan Saoedi-Arabië, waar men in de papieren voor export aangaf dat het niet om wapenleveringen ging en er dus geleverd mag worden......

** Vanmorgen maakte BBC World Service radio bekend dat de Saoedische terreurcoalitie van zins is het aftanken in de lucht van haar moorddadige vliegend oorlogstuig, zelf ter hand te willen nemen. Zal daar in een later bericht op terugkomen.

Zie ook:
'Verenigde Arabische Emiraten bewapenen ISIS en Al Qaida' (in Jemen)

'VS blokkeert VN resolutie tot een staakt het vuren in Jemen, waar VS vriend Saoedi-Arabië een genocide uitvoert'

'Facebook censureert foto's van verhongerende Jemenitische kinderen als 'sexual content''

'VS heeft vliegend oorlogstuig van Saoedische terreurcoalitie gratis van brandstof voorzien.....'





'VN bespreekt humanitaire hulp aan Jemen met bewind in Teheran; voorts: hoe de Saoediërs en de VS Jemen vernietigen'

'Blok (VVD 'minister' van BuZA) wenst in VN geen oproep tot wapenboycot te doen i.z. Jemen, in de VS blokkeerde huis van afgevaardigden een debat over de genocide in Jemen'

'Pentagon: nieuwe geheime operatie voor steun aan Saoedische coalitie die genocide uitvoert in Jemen......'

'Trump administratie staat op het punt de Houthi's in Jemen op de terreurlijst te zetten.......'

'Amal Hussain, het meisje van 7 dat voor het westen symbool stond voor humanitaire crisis (lees: genocide) in Jemen, is overleden.......'

'Jemen: VS politici roepen uiterst hypocriet om een onmiddellijk eind aan de 'oorlog......''

'Saoedische terreurcoalitie stuurt 10.000 militairen extra naar de Jemenitische havenstad Hodeida >> de genocide in een hogere versnelling'

'Jemen: ware dodental door geweld Saoedische terreurcoalitie veel hoger dan eerder geschat'

'Jemen genocide: democratische oppositie steunt met bijna 100% Trumps terreuragenda, terwijl ze hem aanvallen op niet bewezen Russiagate......'

'Saoedi-Arabië bombardeert busstation in Jemen.......'

'Saoedische terreurcoalitie geeft eindelijk toe dat de aanval op een schoolbus niet gerechtvaardigd was......'

'Saoedische terreurcoalitie raakt alweer een bus met kinderen, dit keer tijdens een bombardement van een vluchtelingenkamp........'

'Genocide Jemen: 'eindelijk ontdekt' door reguliere media VS, nu nog Nederland en de EU'

'Saoedische aanval op schoolbus in Jemen: 43 kinderen vermoord......'

'Aanval op schoolbus Jemen, door Saoedi-Arabië opzettelijk als doel gekozen, geen reden voor VS veroordeling......'

'Bom waarmee schoolbus in Jemen werd getroffen is van VS makelij'

'Democratisch congreslid eist antwoorden over de rol van de VS bij de massamoorden in Jemen, zoals de aanval op een schoolbus'

'Saoedi-Arabië woedend over VN rapport waarin de waarheid wordt verteld over S-A en de oorlog in Jemen'

'Trump wijst elke bezuiniging af op de hulp van de VS voor de genocide die Saoedi-Arabië uitvoert in Jemen'

'8 miljoen Jemenieten, inclusief een groot aantal kinderen, dreigen te sterven van de honger........'

'Door VS geregisseerd bombardement op ziekenhuis Hodeida >> 50 doden......'

'Jemen, de gemartelde, vermoorde of 'verdwenen' Jemenieten, onder verantwoording van de Saoedische coalitie......'

'Jemen: de vergeten genocide en haar kinderslachtoffers.........'

'Saoedi-Arabië geeft toe in Jemen gruwelijke oorlogsmisdaden te hebben begaan.... ' (en daarmee is ten overvloede nog eens duidelijk gemaakt dat ook de VS meewerkt aan oorlogsmisdaden en die genocide in Jemen.....)

'Agressie vanwege een vermeende gifgasaanval op Douma, terwijl de tienduizenden kinderen die in Jemen worden vermoord middels een genocide blijkbaar niet meetellen......'


'Congres VS geeft akkoord voor verdere steun aan de Saoedische genocide in Jemen......'

'VS versterkt militaire terreur t.b.v. genocide >> deelname aan aanval op Jemenitische havenstad Hodeida.......'

'VS en Groot-Brittannië weigeren een onmiddellijk staakt het vuren op haven t.b.v. door genocide geterroriseerd Jemen.....' (zie ook de links in dat bericht)


'Mike Pompeo (ex-CIA, VS min. van BuZa en 'christen') liegt openlijk over genocide in Jemen' (zie ook de links in dat bericht)

'Saoedi-Arabië heeft op verzoek van de VS intensief haar islam ideologie (en die van ISIS) verspreid.....' (soennitisch, terwijl het merendeel van de Jemenitische bevolking en haar beschermers, de Houthi's sjiitisch zijn)